quinta-feira, 7 de maio de 2020

The Premier League table according to 'home advantage' this season

"We're a club that prides itself on home form. Two-thirds of our wins this season have come at home."
Those were the words of Aston Villa chief executive Christian Purslow this week. If anything he may have been doing his club a disservice.
Home advantage has become a big talking point in the Premier League, with neutral venues being discussed as a possible solution to resuming the season sooner rather than later.
Clubs near the bottom of the table - including Villa, West Ham and Brighton - have publicly opposed the suggestion.
"We've got six home games left to play," Purslow added. "I think any Villa fan would agree that giving up that advantage is a massive decision for somebody running Aston Villa and I certainly wouldn't agree to that unless those circumstances are right."
a screenshot of a cell phone© Provided by The i
Analysis by i shows that Purslow had a point, with Villa second only to Norwich in terms of a "home bias" in the Premier League this season.
Chart: Datawrapper | Research: inews.co.uk
To make our calculation we looked at points per game picked up at home versus points per game picked up away for all 20 clubs in the league.
We are not necessarily interested in which team has the best home record, rather which team loses most when that perceived advantage is gone.
While league leaders Liverpool have a 100 per cent record at Anfield this season they are not overly reliant on their home fixtures, given they also have an impressive 37 points from 14 games on the road.
Translating their figures into points per game (home = 3.00, away = 2.64), Liverpool have a "home bias" of 53.2 per cent.
Liverpool have a 100 per cent record at Anfield in the Premier League this season (Getty Images)
In contrast, basement boys Norwich are far worse on the road than they are at Carrow Road (home = 1.07, away = 0.40) and therefore have a higher "home bias" than Liverpool at 72.82 per cent - the highest in the league.
Following the Canaries are Villa at 71.03 per cent (even higher than the two-thirds Purslow suggested) and Everton at 69.06 per cent.
At the other end of the spectrum, the likes of Southampton (39.52), Chelsea (48.28) and Wolves (49.44) actually have better records away from home.

If anything, those three should be campaigning for neutral venues: it may give them an edge in the race for Europe.

Nenhum comentário:

Postar um comentário