sexta-feira, 10 de julho de 2020

Слуцкий догнал «Спартак» и очень помог ЦСКА. Расклады на Лигу чемпионов, Лигу Европы и вылет

Кроме досрочного чемпионства «Зенита» и вероятного вылета в ФНЛ «Оренбурга» в российской премьер-лиге практически ничего не ясно. Интрига за три тура до финиша закручена до предела.



Заключительный матч 27-го тура «Рубин» - «Краснодар» получился веселым: уже в первом тайме команды нанесли по воротам друг друга 23 удара! Гости привычно много владели мячом, часто атаковали, но голевые моменты создавали с трудом: в отсутствие травмированного Ари и дисквалифицированного Маркуса Берга центрфорварда был вынужден играть Вандерсон.
Казанцы же здорово действовали на контратаках. Особенно нацелен на гол был экс-краснодарец Иван Игнатьев. «Рубин» мог получить пенальти, когда Юрий Газинский придержал в штрафной Филипа Уремовича, однако арбитр Станислав Васильев «быков» пожалел. Впрочем, в начале второго тайма все тот же Уремович все-таки вписал свое имя в протокол - как автор результативной передачи на Дениса Макарова. А тому отличиться помог рикошет от ноги Егора Сорокина, который дезориентировал Матвея Сафонова.

Пропущенный мяч сломал план Мурада Мусаева. Краснодарцы засуетились, принялись «грузить» вперед, что им не свойственно, и допускать огромное количество ошибок. Зато Леонид Слуцкий мог быть полностью удовлетворен. Его команда отоборонялась на «отлично», более того, «Рубин» забил второй раз - но судьи усмотрели у Евгения Маркова миллимитровый офсайд.


Таким образом, «Краснодар» потерпел второе поражение кряду и не смог опередить по набранным очкам ЦСКА. По потерянным южане по-прежнему находятся выше армейцев, зато снова отстают от «Локомотива». А по большому счету, гонка за вторую и третью российские путевки в Лигу чемпионов после 27-го тура запустилась заново. И Слуцкий благодаря победе над «быками» заметно повысил шансы своей бывшей команды на прямое попадание в групповой этап ЛЧ-2020/21. Да, ЦСКА теперь - реальный претендент на вторую строчку. Хотя еще полторы недели назад поверить в такое было невозможно. Да и «Рубин» из борцов за выживание плавно переместился в группу команд, сражающихся за потенциально еврокубковое шестое место. По очкам казанцы сравнялись со «Спартаком»!
А вот и весь расклад более подробно.
БОРЬБА ЗА ЛИГУ ЧЕМПИОНОВ
«Локомотив» - 50 очков
ЦСКА - 46
«Краснодар» - 45 (матч в запасе)
«Ростов» - 43
Только ростовчане практически лишились шансов на вторую строчку (групповой этап ЛЧ), но на третью (квалификация) претендуют и они. Многое в этой закрутке решится в 29-м туре, когда сойдутся «Локо» и ЦСКА. Краснодарцы по-прежнему могут обойти тех и других, но у команды Мусаева возникли очевидные игровые трудности. Календарь «быков» вроде бы проще, чем у конкурентов. Однако попробуй сейчас останови в Самаре разыгравшиеся при Андрее Талалаеве «Крылья». Да и появление в и без того плотном графике перенесенного на 19 июля матча с «Динамо» - тоже проблема. «Краснодар» рискует задохнуться на финише.
Ну а Слуцкий может еще раз подсобить ЦСКА. Только теперь не победой, а... поражением от армейцев в ближайшем туре. Впрочем, красно-синие, выдавшие отрезок из трех побед с общим счетом 10:0, в помощи не нуждаются. Это сейчас самая горячая РПЛ. Кстати, ЦСКА 19-й раз кряду обеспечил себе попадание в еврокубки.
Календарь на финише
«Локомотив»: «Уфа» (д), ЦСКА (д), «Урал» (г)
«Краснодар»: «Урал» (д), «Крылья Советов» (г), «Динамо» (д), «Ахмат» (д)
ЦСКА: «Рубин» (д), «Локомотив» (г), «Тамбов» (д)
«Ростов»: «Оренбург» (г), «Рубин» (г), «Зенит» (д)
БОРЬБА ЗА ШЕСТОЕ МЕСТО
«Уфа» - 36 очков
«Урал» - 35
«Спартак» и «Рубин» - 33
«Динамо» - 32 (матч в запасе)
Если «Зениту» удастся завоевать Кубок России, шестая строчка в таблице РПЛ станет пропуском в квалификацию Лиги Европы. В этой борьбе также многое определится в 29-м туре, когда сразятся «Уфа» и «Динамо». «Уралу» в заключительных турах предстоят два матча с топ-клубами («Краснодар» и «Локомотив»). Самый сложный календарь на бумаге у «Рубина». А «Спартак» сейчас настолько нестабилен, что набрать на четыре очка больше уфимцев для красно-белых - практически нерешаемая задача. Почему на четыре? Потому что при равенстве в силу вступят личные встречи, а в них теперь уже бывший клуб Шамиля Газизова преуспел больше нынешнего (1:0, 0:0). А еще говорят, что новый гендир красно-белых пошел на повышение. Команда Вадима Евсеева с этим не согласится.
Календарь на финише
«Уфа»: «Локомотив» (г), «Динамо» (д), «Арсенал» (д)
«Урал»: «Краснодар» (г), «Арсенал» (д), «Локомотив» (д)
«Спартак»: «Сочи» (г), «Ахмат» (д), «Рубин» (г)«Рубин»: ЦСКА (г), «Ростов» (д), «Спартак» (д)
«Динамо»: «Крылья Советов» (д), «Уфа» (г), «Краснодар» (г), «Оренбург» (д)
БОРЬБА ЗА ВЫЖИВАНИЕ
«Арсенал» - 31 очко
«Сочи» и «Ахмат» - 30
«Тамбов» - 28
«Крылья Советов» - 27
«Оренбург» - 23
Внизу таблицы борьба тоже пойдет до самого конца. «Оренбург», правда, обречен. А вот «Крылья» (5 очков в матчах с «Локо», «Ростовом» и «Арсеналом») теперь точно посражаются. Самарцам необходимо набрать как минимум на очко больше, чем «Тамбов», которому предстоят матчи с «Арсеналом», «Сочи» и ЦСКА... Сочинцы тоже напряжены. Как и «Ахмат», который обязан отобрать хоть что-то у «Спартака», «Зенита» и «Краснодара». А вдруг, несмотря на летний прогресс, не получится?.. Скорее всего, решающими станут матчи «Крыльев» и «Тамбова» против «Сочи».
Календарь на финише
«Арсенал»: «Тамбов» (д), «Урал» (г), «Уфа» (г)
«Сочи»: «Спартак» (д), «Тамбов» (г), «Крылья Советов» (г)
«Ахмат»: «Зенит» (д), «Спартак» (г), «Краснодар» (г)
«Тамбов»: «Арсенал» (г), «Сочи» (д), ЦСКА (г)
«Крылья Советов»: «Динамо» (г), «Краснодар» (д), «Сочи» (д)
«Оренбург»: «Ростов» (д), «Зенит» (г), «Динамо» (г)
РПЛ. 27-й тур
«Рубин» - «Краснодар» - 1:0 (0:0)
Гол: Макаров, 51 – 1:0.
Турнирная таблица

QPR vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction & Match Preview

QPR vs Sheffield Wednesday
England – Championship
Date: Saturday, 11 July 2020
Kick-Off at 15:00 UK/ 16:00 CET
Venue: Loftus Road (London)
The Rangers have lost four of their five recent league fixtures. They are coming into this game after the away defeat to Wigan. Even with these problems, they are one of the top scorers, but the defense could not back it up with a strong show.

Sheffield is continuing their poor run of form. They have lost all three recent league fixtures on the trot. This makes them winless in 4 of their last 5 games. The Owls will likely finish far below the 12th place they ended up last season.

QPR vs Sheffield Wednesday: Head-to-head (h2h)

  • Rangers are on a 4 match winning streak in the league against this opposition.
  • All five previous meetings saw a final score with more than 2.5 goals.
  • Both sides found the back of the net in six of their seven previous clashes.
  • Both sides have two wins each in their last five competitive head to head games.
  • All the latest four games here saw more than 2.5 goals in total.

QPR vs Sheffield Wednesday: Prediction

The hosts have been inconsistent all season. Especially in the recent weeks, they won against an in-form Derby County and then went to lose to relegation placed Barnsley. At home, they are winless in the three back to back fixtures.
At the same time, Sheffield has only one win in the last 7 matches on the road. Considering the head to head history in this matchup I am backing the home team to get three points on Saturday.
The majority of their recent clashes saw a high scoring game with both of them scoring. This can be seen in six of their latest meetings.
The hosts have given away 67 goals till now, which is 7 more than what they scored. The visitors have also conceded over 50 goals. Thus we can expect both teams to get in the score sheet in this one.

QPR vs Sheffield Wednesday: Betting Tips

  • The home team to win @ 1.85 (6/7).
  • Both teams to score @ 1.74 (3/4).

Preston vs Nottingham Forest Prediction & Match Preview

Preston vs Nottingham Forest
England – Championship
Date: Saturday, 11 July 2020
Kick-Off at 15:00 UK/ 16:00 CET
Venue: Deepdale (Preston)
Preston is coming into this match after a thumping away win over Sheffield Wednesday. This was their first three points after a 7 game winless run. But things at home are far from hopeful as they have lost four of their last five home fixtures.

Nottingham is fading at the important stage of the season. The latest home defeat to Fulham was a shock for the Reds. The points they lost in the last two fixtures may come in to haunt them at the end of the season.

Preston vs Nottingham Forest: Head-to-head (h2h)

  • Preston remains unbeaten in their last 7 meetings with this opposition.
  • Five of those seven head to head league games were draws.
  • Forest previously won this fixture back in March 2016.
  • Both sides have a win each in their last five clashes at this ground.
  • Fewer than 2.5 goals were scored in all those five matches.
  • The home team is on a three-match losing streak at home.
  • Nottingham currently has a three-game drawing run away from home.

Preston vs Nottingham Forest: Prediction

Forest has kept things clean at the back this season. But in recent weeks they have failed to keep a clean sheet. Especially they have conceded in four of their last five matches on the road. Even though they have won in most of those games, this may hurt them this weekend. The consecutive defeats at home for Preston was the doing of a bad defense, to say the least. But they have scored in most of those matches even in the one that they lost. So we can expect goals on both ends of the field in this one.
Nottingham is a much better away team this season. From their 21 matches on the road, they have 8 wins and three draws. With a winless run going on they look literally unbeatable especially by a team on a losing streak. But the majority of their previous meetings ended as draws. So I am backing a Double Chance for a draw or Nottingham winning on Saturday.

Preston vs Nottingham Forest: Betting Tips

  • Double Chance: Draw or Nottingham Forest to win @ 1.50 (1/2).
  • Both teams to score @ 1.87 (7/8).

Middlesbrough vs Bristol City Prediction & Match Preview

Middlesbrough vs Bristol City
England – Championship
Date: Saturday, 11 July 2020
Kick-Off at 15:00 UK/ 16:00 CET
Venue: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)
The hosts were on a two-match losing streak until they played Millwall in a recent fixture. That away win may have raised their spirits. Since the table is so closely packed they still carry the risk of dropping to the danger zone. So every point matters for the Boro.

After 9 matches without a win, Bristol City has finally got entire three points from a game. But the win came at home against Hull City who is in the relegation zone. They had to face some tough opposition but have also lost to mid-table teams before.

Middlesbrough vs Bristol City: Head-to-head (h2h)

  • Both sides have two wins each in their five previous meetings.
  • More than 2.5 goals were scored in three of those five matches.
  • Both sides found the back of the net in three of those matches as well.
  • The visitors picked up three wins in their last five trips to this ground.
  • Both sides scored in three of those five fixtures here.
  • Fewer than 2.5 goals came in three matches during that spell.
  • Middlesbrough is winless in its last eight home games in the league.
  • The visitors are also on a five-game winless run that includes four defeats in away games.

Middlesbrough vs Bristol City: Prediction

The Boro has scored only 42 goals so far in this league season. This is the lowest scoring tally for any side even the ones at the bottom of the table. From the matches so far they have drawn and also lost more matches than they have won.
Even at home, they have been criticized by their own fans for not stepping up in recent weeks. The visitors have not won any of their last five matches on the road. From 21 away fixtures they have 8 wins and defeats each. There is pretty much nothing to separate them. So we can expect yet another draw on Saturday.
Both of them are known for their defensive weaknesses. The home side has given away more goals than they scored. Bristol also has holes in defense which has already leaked 61 goals so far. The reverse leg was also a high scoring game with goals from both sides. We can expect a similar scoreline in this upcoming tie also.

Middlesbrough vs Bristol City: Betting Tips

  • Match to draw @ 3.50 (5/2).
  • Both teams to score @ 1.90 (9/10).

Hull City vs Millwall Prediction & Match Preview

Hull City vs Millwall
England – Championship
Date: Saturday, 11 July 2020
Kick-Off at 15:00 UK/ 16:00 CET
Venue: KCOM Stadium (Hull).
The Lions will take on the Tigers this weekend as Hull City hosts Millwall. Hull City is still trying to get out of the relegation zone. With just a point short of a safe position they need multiple wins to get there.

Currently, they are on a 2 match losing streak. With a below-par home form, they are likely to lose against on Saturday.
Millwall’s chances of progressing to the playoffs are very narrow. They have made a habit of drawing important matches.
With 17 draws in 42 rounds, they have topped all the remaining teams in the number of stalemates. Recently they lost to Middlesbrough in a home fixture.

Hull vs Millwall: Head-to-head (h2h)

  • Millwall has two wins and a defeat in five previous head to head clashes against this opposition.
  • Both sides have scored in all those recent meetings across all venues.
  • More than 2.5 goals were scored in four of those five matches in both Cup and league.
  • The hosts have three wins in the last five clashes against Millwall at this ground.
  • The latest three meetings at this venue saw a final score with over 2.5 goals.
  • Both sides found the back of the net in all three of those games also.

Hull vs Millwall: Prediction

In the majority of their recent clashes both, these teams managed to find the target. The reverse fixture for example ended with both teams scoring in either half of the match.
Despite losing two recent league fixtures the Tigers have scored in both those matches. The hosts have scored the majority of their goal in home matches too. So I am backing a final score with goals from both of them this weekend.
Even though the head to head records at this ground favor the hosts, Hull City is going through a hard time right now. They are losing matches consecutively which has affected their chances of survival.
On the other hand, Millwall is unbeaten in their three recent matches on the road. From their recent five trips, they have won three and have lost only once. I think they may pick up yet another win on Saturday.

Hull vs Millwall: Betting Tips

  • Away team to win @ 1.70(7/10).
  • Both teams to score @ 1.87(7/8).

Blackburn vs West Brom Prediction & Match Preview

Blackburn vs West Brom
England – Championship
Date: Saturday, 11 July 2020
Kick-Off at 15:00 UK/ 16:00 CET
Venue: Ewood Park (Blackburn)
Two former Premier League sides will meet this Saturday. The hosts have finally returned to winning ways after a three-match losing run.

The defeats to relegation placed Barnsley was a shocker as they were not even able to get a goal back in that game. But the recent hard-fought victory over Cardiff was a display of the character of the team.
The Albion has to keep winning matches to retain their position at the top of the table.  Even though Leeds United has a game in hand they have some tough fixtures coming up.

Blackburn vs West Brom: Head-to-head (h2h)

  • The Albion has three wins and a defeat in their five previous meetings with this opposition.
  • Both sides have found the back of the net in four of those five competitive matches.
  • Four of those five games also saw a final score with more than 2.5 goals in total.
  • The hosts have won thrice in their last five head to head games against West Brom here.
  • Fewer than 2.5 goals were scored in those five matches at this ground.
  • West Brom is currently on an active three game-winning run in the league.

Blackburn vs West Brom: Prediction

West Brom has one of the strongest frontlines in the league. Their forwards have netted 73 goals from the 42 rounds which are second best after Brentford. They have scored 9 goals in their latest three league games against mid-table teams.
At the same time, Blackburn has a habit of conceding too many goals in recent weeks. The defense of the hosts has given away 55 of the 59 goals they have scored all season.
But they have scored against top teams like Leeds United lately. So I am backing a final score with goals at both ends of the field.
West Brom has lost only six of their league games so far, which is the least by any team this season. They have to win this one to keep the pressure of the approaching Leeds and put one hand on the trophy.
Meanwhile, the hosts have lost three recent league games and are struggling to keep their cool under pressure. So we can agree that West Brom is likely to go home with a win.

Blackburn vs West Brom: Betting Tips

  • West Brom to win @ 1.80 (4/5).
  • Both teams to score @ 2.00 (1/1).

Barnsley vs Wigan Prediction & Match Preview

Barnsley vs Wigan
England – Championship
Date: Saturday, 11 July 2020
Kick-Off at 15:00 UK/ 16:00 CET
Venue: Oakwell (Barnsley)
The hosts are coming into this game from the 1-1 draw against the last teams in the table. Only wins would help them to stay in the Championship for yet another season. But against an in-form Wigan, they will need a miracle to get all three points.

Wigan has returned to winning ways after the 3-0 thrashing against Brentford. The recent win over QPR was their fourth in five league matches. But the lack of goals has affected them throughout this season. The defense got weaker as the season progressed too.

Barnsley vs Wigan: Head-to-head (h2h)

  • Wigan has two wins and a defeat in the five previous meetings with this opposition.
  • Fewer than 2.5 goals were scored in three of those five games across all venues.
  • The reverse fixture played back in August ended as a goalless draw.
  • The hosts have never won against Wigan in any of the four competitive matches at this ground.
  • Wigan kept a clean sheet in the latest three head to head games at this stadium.

Barnsley vs Wigan: Prediction

The hosts have shown a glimmer of hope with a few results in recent weeks. But the four-goal thrashing against Stoke City and the draw against Luton has hit them hard during these struggling times. Adding to their misery is this upcoming match. They have never won against Wigan in any of their past meetings at this ground. With Wigan winning consecutive games now it is likely to stay that way after Saturday too.
The visitors have performed exceptionally well in recent matches on the road. The major win during that spell was against toppers West Brom. Even though it was a 1-0 win, the confidence boost that they got from that game was immense. Apart from the defeat to Brentford, they have kept clean sheets in three of their last 4 away fixtures. They have also not conceded a goal in their last three trips to this ground. So I am backing a double chance for a draw or Wigan winning with both only one side netting goals.

Barnsley vs Wigan: Betting Tips

  • Double Chance: Draw or Wigan to win @ 1.53 (6/11).
  • Both teams to score: No @ 2.38 (11/8).